Costs of Sovereign Defaults: Restructuring Strategies, Bank Distress and the Capital Inflow-Credit Channel

Sovereign debt restructurings are associated with declines in GDP, investment, bank credit, and capital flows. The transmission channels and associated output and banking sector costs depend on whether the restructuring takes place preemptively, without missing payments to creditors, or whether it t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Asonuma, Tamon
Other Authors: Chamon, Marcos, Erce, Aitor, Sasahara, Akira
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2019
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Costs of Sovereign Defaults: Restructuring Strategies, Bank Distress and the Capital Inflow-Credit Channel  |c Tamon Asonuma, Marcos Chamon, Aitor Erce, Akira Sasahara 
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651 4 |a Argentina 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Debt Management 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a Long-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Debt 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Asset and liability management 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Sovereign Debt 
653 |a Capital inflows 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Sudden stops 
653 |a Banking crises 
653 |a Debt restructuring 
653 |a Capital movements 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a International Investment 
653 |a Financial Crises 
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700 1 |a Erce, Aitor 
700 1 |a Sasahara, Akira 
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520 |a Sovereign debt restructurings are associated with declines in GDP, investment, bank credit, and capital flows. The transmission channels and associated output and banking sector costs depend on whether the restructuring takes place preemptively, without missing payments to creditors, or whether it takes place after a default has occurred. Post-default restructurings are associated with larger declines in bank credit, an increase in lending interest rates, and a higher likelihood of triggering a banking crisis than pre-emptive restructurings. Our local projection estimates show large declines in GDP, investment, and credit amplified by severe sudden stops and transmitted through a “capital inflow-credit channel”