Globalization and the New Normal

This study expands the empirical specification of Cerra and Saxena (2008), and allows short-term output growth regimes to be determined by globalization. Relying on a non-linear dynamic panel representation, it reconciles the earlier results in the literature regarding the two opposite narratives of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Carare, Alina
Other Authors: Candelon, Bertrand, Hasse, Jean-Baptiste, Lu, Jing
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2018
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Globalization and the New Normal  |c Alina Carare, Bertrand Candelon, Jean-Baptiste Hasse, Jing Lu 
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300 |a 40 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Stock exchanges 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Globalization: General 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Globalization: Finance 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Globalization 
653 |a Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts 
653 |a Economic Growth of Open Economies 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a International Finance: General 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Stock markets 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Banking crises 
653 |a Economic theory 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Production growth 
653 |a Financial Crises 
700 1 |a Candelon, Bertrand 
700 1 |a Hasse, Jean-Baptiste 
700 1 |a Lu, Jing 
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520 |a This study expands the empirical specification of Cerra and Saxena (2008), and allows short-term output growth regimes to be determined by globalization. Relying on a non-linear dynamic panel representation, it reconciles the earlier results in the literature regarding the two opposite narratives of the effects of globalization on output growth. Countries experience higher growth, on average, the more open and integrated they are into the world. However, once they reach a certain globalization threshold (endogenously estimated), countries may also experience a new normal, persistently lower short-term output growth following a financial crisis. The benefits, as well as vulnerabilities, accrue earlier in the globalization process for low- and middle-income countries. To solely reap the globalization benefits on growth, sound policies should be in place to mitigate the negative effects stemming from increased vulnerabilities brought by globalization