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180616 ||| eng |
| 100 |
1 |
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|a Matheson, Troy D.
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| 245 |
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|a New indicators for tracking growth in real time
|h Elektronische Ressource
|c Troy D., Matheson
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| 260 |
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|a Paris
|b OECD Publishing
|c 2014
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| 300 |
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|a 21 p.
|c 21 x 28cm
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| 653 |
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|a Economics
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| 041 |
0 |
7 |
|a eng
|2 ISO 639-2
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| 989 |
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|b OECD
|a OECD Books and Papers
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| 028 |
5 |
0 |
|a 10.1787/jbcma-2013-5jz741mh2czs
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| 773 |
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|t OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis
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| 856 |
4 |
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|a oecd-ilibrary.org
|u https://doi.org/10.1787/jbcma-2013-5jz741mh2czs
|x Verlag
|3 Volltext
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| 082 |
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|a 330
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| 520 |
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|a We develop monthly indicators for tracking short-run trends in real GDP growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle. In a recursive out-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that the indicators generally produce good real GDP growth forecasts relative to a range of time series models
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