Trading with China Productivity Gains, Job Losses

We analyze the impact on productivity in advanced economies of fast-growing trade with China between the mid-1990s and late-2000s, separately identifying the export and import channels. We use country-sector-level data for 18 advanced economies and, similar to Autor, Dorn, and Hanson (2013), exploit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ahn, JaeBin
Other Authors: Duval, Romain
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2017
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Trading with China  |b Productivity Gains, Job Losses  |c JaeBin Ahn, Romain Duval 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2017 
300 |a 13 pages 
651 4 |a China, People's Republic of 
653 |a Aggregate Labor Productivity 
653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Cost 
653 |a Income economics 
653 |a Trade Policy 
653 |a Capital and Total Factor Productivity 
653 |a Wages 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
653 |a Exports 
653 |a Empirical Studies of Trade 
653 |a International Trade Organizations 
653 |a Imports 
653 |a Labor 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Total factor productivity 
653 |a Employment 
653 |a Economic theory 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Intergenerational Income Distribution 
653 |a Institutions and Growth 
653 |a Aggregate Human Capital 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Economic Growth of Open Economies 
653 |a Productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Unemployment 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Labour 
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520 |a We analyze the impact on productivity in advanced economies of fast-growing trade with China between the mid-1990s and late-2000s, separately identifying the export and import channels. We use country-sector-level data for 18 advanced economies and, similar to Autor, Dorn, and Hanson (2013), exploit exogenous variation in trade with China in a given country-sector by instrumenting imports from (exports to) China in a given country-sector with the average imports from (exports to) China in the same sector in other advanced economies. Our estimates point to large productivity gains from trading with China—the (exogenous) rise of China in global trade may have increased the level of total factor productivity by about 1.9 percent, or 12.3 percent of the overall increase over the sample period, in the median country-sector. By contrast, using a similar empirical strategy, we find adverse employment effects of Chinese imports in exposed country-industries, consistent with previous studies. Taken together, these findings point to large gains from free trade, while underscoring the scope for a more active policy role in redistributing them, particularly by easing workers’ transition between jobs and industries