Trade Costs of Sovereign Debt Restructurings Does a Market-Friendly Approach Improve the Outcome?

Sovereign debt restructurings have been shown to influence the dynamics of imports and exports. This paper shows that the impact can vary substantially depending on whether the restructuring takes place preemptively without missing payments to creditors, or whether it takes place after a default has...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Asonuma, Tamon
Other Authors: Chamon, Marcos, Sasahara, Akira
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2016
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Trade Costs of Sovereign Debt Restructurings  |b Does a Market-Friendly Approach Improve the Outcome?  |c Tamon Asonuma, Marcos Chamon, Akira Sasahara 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2016 
300 |a 57 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
653 |a Asset and liability management 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Imports 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a International trade 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Exports 
653 |a Exchange rate arrangements 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Empirical Studies of Trade 
653 |a Debt 
653 |a Currency 
653 |a Debt Management 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Sovereign Debt 
653 |a Debt restructuring 
653 |a Debts, External 
700 1 |a Chamon, Marcos 
700 1 |a Sasahara, Akira 
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520 |a Sovereign debt restructurings have been shown to influence the dynamics of imports and exports. This paper shows that the impact can vary substantially depending on whether the restructuring takes place preemptively without missing payments to creditors, or whether it takes place after a default has occurred. We document that countries with post-default restructurings experience on average: (i) a more severe and protracted decline in imports, (ii) a larger fall in exports, and (iii) a sharper and more prolonged decline in both GDP, investment and real exchange rate than preemptive cases. These stylized facts are confirmed by panel regressions and local projection estimates, and a range of robustness checks including for the endogeneity of the restructuring strategy. Our findings suggest that a country's choice of how to go about restructuring its debt can have major implications for the costs it incurs from restructuring