Antigua and Barbuda Staff Report for the 2014 Article IV Consultation and Second Post-Program Monitoring

They paid the arrears to the Fund and committed to timely servicing of Fund obligations. Data provision. Data provision is adequate for surveillance and post-program monitoring although significant areas for improvement remain, in particular on labor market statistics, measurement of arrears, financ...

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund Western Hemisphere Dept
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2015
Series:IMF Staff Country Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 89 pages 
651 4 |a Antigua and Barbuda 
653 |a Public debt 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Banks and banking 
653 |a Bank resolution 
653 |a Debts, Public 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Arrears 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a External debt 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Econometrics & economic statistics 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Revenue administration 
653 |a Debt Management 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Computer Programs: Other 
653 |a Debt 
653 |a Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology 
653 |a Crisis management 
653 |a Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a Sovereign Debt 
653 |a Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Statistics 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Revenue 
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520 |a They paid the arrears to the Fund and committed to timely servicing of Fund obligations. Data provision. Data provision is adequate for surveillance and post-program monitoring although significant areas for improvement remain, in particular on labor market statistics, measurement of arrears, financial information on state-owned enterprises, and national accounts by expenditure components 
520 |a KEY ISSUES Context. The new government that came to power in June 2014 inherited serious fiscal and external payments problems, including arrears to the Fund and other creditors, and unresolved banking sector problems. Moreover, public debt remains at an unsustainable level of close to 100 percent of GDP, while economic activity has been weak with output still well below the level reached at the time of the 2008/09 global financial crisis. Main policy recommendations • Implement fiscal measures equivalent to 2.8 percent of GDP in 2015 to tackle cash flow problems and achieve an underlying primary surplus of 3.0 percent of GDP by 2016 to address debt sustainability challenges. Underpin measures with structural fiscal reforms. • Use Citizenship by Investment Program revenues to pay down arrears and debt and fund bank resolution. The program should be managed in line with the high standards of governance and transparency set out in the law.  
520 |a • Move expeditiously as planned with the resolution of ABI Bank and support initiatives underway to strengthen the regional bank resolution framework, in particular, the passage of needed legislative reforms. • Improve competitiveness by moderating labor costs; increasing energy efficiency, including by better performance of the state-owned utility company; and improving the investment climate. Authorities’ views. The authorities broadly agreed with staff’s assessment of the economic situation and risks, and its recommendations to reduce fiscal vulnerabilities and strengthen the banking system. They were more optimistic about growth prospects for 2015 based on expectations for substantial FDI. They are opposed to increases in taxes and plan to focus fiscal efforts on cutting recurrent spending. On bank resolution, they wish to work closely with the Fund and World Bank to speedily address outstanding problems.