Are Financial Crises Alike?

This paper investigates whether financial crises are alike by considering whether a single modeling framework can fit multiple distinct crises in which contagion effects link markets across national borders and asset classes. The crises considered are Russia and LTCM in the second half of 1998, Braz...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tang, Chrismin
Other Authors: Dungey, Mardi, Fry, Renee, Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2010
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Are Financial Crises Alike?  |c Chrismin Tang, Mardi Dungey, Vance Martin, Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Renee Fry 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2010 
300 |a 59 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a Stocks 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Financial Instruments 
653 |a Investments: Bonds 
653 |a International Financial Markets 
653 |a Securities markets 
653 |a Bonds 
653 |a Model Construction and Estimation 
653 |a Capital market 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Institutional Investors 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Stock exchanges 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Stock markets 
653 |a Investment & securities 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Financial Crises 
653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Investments: Stocks 
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700 1 |a Fry, Renee 
700 1 |a Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda 
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520 |a This paper investigates whether financial crises are alike by considering whether a single modeling framework can fit multiple distinct crises in which contagion effects link markets across national borders and asset classes. The crises considered are Russia and LTCM in the second half of 1998, Brazil in early 1999, dot-com in 2000, Argentina in 2001-2005, and the recent U.S. subprime mortgage and credit crisis in 2007. Using daily stock and bond returns on emerging and developed markets from 1998 to 2007, the empirical results show that financial crises are indeed alike, as all linkages are statistically important across all crises. However, the strength of these linkages does vary across crises. Contagion channels are widespread during the Russian/LTCM crisis, are less important during subsequent crises until the subprime crisis, where again the transmission of contagion becomes rampant