Russia and the WTO The "Gravity" of Outsider Status

With China's accession to the WTO in 2001, Russia is by far that organization's most prominent nonmember. This paper applies the gravity model to gauge whether this "outsider" status has been affecting Russia's export structure. On the basis of cross-section and panel regres...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lissovolik, Yaroslav
Other Authors: Lissovolik, Bogdan
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2004
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Exports and Imports 
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653 |a Econometric analysis 
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653 |a Econometric models 
653 |a Export restrictions 
653 |a Trade balance 
653 |a Trade and Environment 
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653 |a Trade: General 
653 |a Trade policy 
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653 |a Trade Policy 
653 |a International Trade Organizations 
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653 |a International economics 
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520 |a With China's accession to the WTO in 2001, Russia is by far that organization's most prominent nonmember. This paper applies the gravity model to gauge whether this "outsider" status has been affecting Russia's export structure. On the basis of cross-section and panel regressions for 1995-2002, we find that Russian exports to WTO members have fallen short of the model's predictions. The paper discusses possible explanations of this result, including Russia's exclusion from various WTO procedures, although own-export restrictions could have a similar effect. The model points to Russia's further trade reorientation toward WTO members after a putative accession. Our results also prompt some ideas that may resolve the recent empirical controversy over the WTO's overall role in promoting trade