What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Long and Short of it

This paper presents a reduced-form model of the real exchange rate. Using multilateral cointegration methods, the model is implemented for the real effective exchange rates of the dollar, the mark, and the yen, over the period 1974-1993. In contrast to much other research using real exchange rates,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: MacDonald, Ronald
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1997
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Financial services 
653 |a Foreign exchange 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Monetary Systems 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Exchange rates 
653 |a Real effective exchange rates 
653 |a Real interest rates 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Currency 
653 |a Payment Systems 
653 |a Foreign Exchange 
653 |a Government and the Monetary System 
653 |a Real exchange rates 
653 |a Currencies 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Regimes 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Standards 
653 |a Interest rates 
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520 |a This paper presents a reduced-form model of the real exchange rate. Using multilateral cointegration methods, the model is implemented for the real effective exchange rates of the dollar, the mark, and the yen, over the period 1974-1993. In contrast to much other research using real exchange rates, there is evidence of significant and sensible long-run relationships for a simplified version as well as for the full version of the model. The estimated long-run relationships are used to produce dynamic equations, which outperform a random walk and produce sensible dynamic patterns in the context of an impulse response analysis