Exposure to Real Estate Losses Evidence from the US Banks

We implement a three-step procedure to assess the extent of exposure to real estate in commercial banks. First, we demonstrate interest rates and income to be the major determinants of delinquency. Then, we adopt a stress testing approach to calculate the impact of any adverse changes in these deter...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Pinheiro, Marcelo
Other Authors: Igan, Deniz
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2009
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 33 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Depository Institutions 
653 |a Micro Finance Institutions 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Real estate prices 
653 |a Loans 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Credit 
653 |a Personal income 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Banks 
653 |a Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location: General 
653 |a Property & real estate 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets 
653 |a Housing 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Personal Income, Wealth, and Their Distributions 
653 |a Banks and Banking 
653 |a Banks and banking 
653 |a Banking 
653 |a Household Behavior: General 
653 |a Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General 
653 |a Bank credit 
653 |a Real Estate 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Industries: Financial Services 
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520 |a We implement a three-step procedure to assess the extent of exposure to real estate in commercial banks. First, we demonstrate interest rates and income to be the major determinants of delinquency. Then, we adopt a stress testing approach to calculate the impact of any adverse changes in these determinants. This suggests that a 1.3 percentage point increase in mortgage interest rate leads to a 20 percent decrease in a typical bank's distance to default. Finally, we look at the cross-sectional differences and indentify the banks with rapid loan growth along with high cost-income ratio as the most vulnerable