Structural Breaks in Fiscal Performance Did Fiscal Responsibility Laws Have Anything to Do with Them?

In recent years, many countries have adopted Fiscal Responsibility Laws to strengthen fiscal institutions and promote fiscal discipline in a credible, predictable and transparent manner. Still, results on the effectiveness of these laws remain tentative. In this paper, we test empirically whether fi...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Medina, Leandro
Other Authors: Caceres, Carlos, Corbacho, Ana
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2010
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
LEADER 03137nmm a2200553 u 4500
001 EB000931210
003 EBX01000000000000000724806
005 00000000000000.0
007 cr|||||||||||||||||||||
008 150128 ||| eng
020 |a 9781455209484 
100 1 |a Medina, Leandro 
245 0 0 |a Structural Breaks in Fiscal Performance  |b Did Fiscal Responsibility Laws Have Anything to Do with Them?  |c Leandro Medina, Carlos Caceres, Ana Corbacho 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2010 
300 |a 27 pages 
651 4 |a New Zealand 
653 |a Fiscal stance 
653 |a Finance, Public 
653 |a Public Administration 
653 |a Financial administration & public finance law 
653 |a Dynamic Treatment Effect Models 
653 |a Output gap 
653 |a Pfm legal and regulatory frameworks 
653 |a Fiscal Policy 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Diffusion Processes 
653 |a Fiscal policy 
653 |a Time-Series Models 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Econometric models 
653 |a Public Sector Accounting and Audits 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Dynamic Quantile Regressions 
653 |a Econometrics 
653 |a Economic theory 
653 |a Econometrics & economic statistics 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Markov-switching models 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
653 |a Law and legislation 
700 1 |a Caceres, Carlos 
700 1 |a Corbacho, Ana 
041 0 7 |a eng  |2 ISO 639-2 
989 |b IMF  |a International Monetary Fund 
490 0 |a IMF Working Papers 
028 5 0 |a 10.5089/9781455209484.001 
856 4 0 |u https://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/248/001.2010.issue-248-en.xml?cid=24336-com-dsp-marc  |x Verlag  |3 Volltext 
082 0 |a 330 
520 |a In recent years, many countries have adopted Fiscal Responsibility Laws to strengthen fiscal institutions and promote fiscal discipline in a credible, predictable and transparent manner. Still, results on the effectiveness of these laws remain tentative. In this paper, we test empirically whether fiscal performance, measured as the level of primary fiscal balances and their volatility, indeed improved after the implementation of Fiscal Responsibility Laws in a sample of Latin American and advanced economies. We show that traditional econometric approaches, which rely on the use of dummies in time series or panel regressions, yield biased estimates. In contrast, our empirical strategy recognizes that, a priori, the timing of the effect of these laws on fiscal performance is unknown, while controlling for the impact of the business and commodity cycles on fiscal outcomes. Overall, we find limited empirical evidence in support of the view that Fiscal Responsibility Laws have had a distinguishable effect on fiscal performance. However, Fiscal Responsibility Laws could still have other positive effects on the conduct of fiscal policy not analyzed here, for instance, through enhanced transparency and guidance in the budget process and lower risk premia