Toward a Lender of First Resort

If interest rates (country spreads) rise, debt can rapidly be subject to a snowball effect, which becomes self-fulfilling with regard to the fundamentals themselves. This is a market imperfection, because we cannot be confident that the unaided market will choose the "good" over the "...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Cohen, Daniel
Other Authors: Portes, Richard
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2006
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Toward a Lender of First Resort  |c Daniel Cohen, Richard Portes 
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651 4 |a Argentina 
653 |a Economic & financial crises & disasters 
653 |a Public debt 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Financial crises 
653 |a Debt Management 
653 |a Debts, Public 
653 |a Debt 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Debts, External 
653 |a Sovereign Debt 
653 |a Debt burden 
653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Debt sustainability analysis 
653 |a Debt default 
653 |a Financial Crises 
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520 |a If interest rates (country spreads) rise, debt can rapidly be subject to a snowball effect, which becomes self-fulfilling with regard to the fundamentals themselves. This is a market imperfection, because we cannot be confident that the unaided market will choose the "good" over the "bad" equilibrium. We propose a policy intervention to deal with this structural weakness in the mechanisms of international capital flows. This is based on a simple taxonomy that breaks down the origin of crises into three components: confidence (spreads and currency crisis), fundamentals (real growth rate), and economic policy (primary deficit). Theory then suggests a set of circumstances in which a lender of first resort would be desirable. The policy would seek to short-circuit confidence crises, partly by using IMF support to improve ex ante incentives. Theory also illuminates the potential role of collective action clauses in reducing the risk of self-fulfilling debt crises