Equilibrium Non-Oil Current Account Assessments for Oil Producing Countries

This paper introduces a methodology for assessing external balance in countries with large stocks of non-renewable resources based on oil stock data, and applies it to selected oil producing countries. The methodology uses a stock approach (instead of the more traditional flow approach) to estimate...

Full description

Main Author: Thomas, Alun H.
Other Authors: Aslam, Aqib, Kim, Jun Il
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2008, 2008
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Summary:This paper introduces a methodology for assessing external balance in countries with large stocks of non-renewable resources based on oil stock data, and applies it to selected oil producing countries. The methodology uses a stock approach (instead of the more traditional flow approach) to estimate the equilibrium non-oil current account consistent with optimal consumption smoothing. One of the benefits of the stock approach is that geological data for oil reserves can be used to estimate oil wealth; however, the methodology makes the estimated non-oil current account norm very sensitive to oil price projections. Based on an oil price about US
Physical Description:24 p.
ISBN:9781451870565
1451870566