Assessing the Impact of a Change in the Composition of Public Spending A DSGE Approach

Despite intense calls for safeguarding public investment in Europe, public investment expenditure, when measured in relation to GDP, has steadily fallen in the last three decades, evoking fears that economic activity may be correspondingly negatively affected. At the same time, however, public consu...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Tchakarov, Ivan
Other Authors: Straub, Roland
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2007
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Assessing the Impact of a Change in the Composition of Public Spending  |b A DSGE Approach  |c Ivan Tchakarov, Roland Straub 
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300 |a 47 pages 
651 4 |a United States 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Private investment 
653 |a Investment 
653 |a Public investment spending 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Other Public Investment and Capital Stock 
653 |a Intangible Capital 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General 
653 |a Expenditure 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Investments: General 
653 |a Public-private sector cooperation 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Expenditures, Public 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Public investments 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP) 
653 |a Capital 
653 |a Public Finance 
700 1 |a Straub, Roland 
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520 |a Despite intense calls for safeguarding public investment in Europe, public investment expenditure, when measured in relation to GDP, has steadily fallen in the last three decades, evoking fears that economic activity may be correspondingly negatively affected. At the same time, however, public consumption in the EU-12 countries has trended up. In this paper, we provide a macroeconomic assessment of the observed change in the composition of public spending in the euro area in a medium-scale two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. First, we identify the channels through which both temporary and permanent public investment shocks generate larger fiscal multipliers than exogenous increases in public consumption. Second, we quantify the negative impact of a change in fiscal stance, characterized by a permanent rise in public consumption and a permanent fall in public investment, keeping the overall level of public spending constant. The key message of the paper is that calls for reversing the observed trend in the composition of public spending are well justified