Rational Liquidity Crises in the Sovereign Debt Market In Search of a Theory

This paper studies under what circumstances creditworthy sovereign borrowers may be denied liquidity by rational creditors. It is shown that, when the creditor side of the market consists of many small investors there may be multiple rational expectations equilibria. In one equilibrium, creditors’ p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Detragiache, Enrica
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1996
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Rational Liquidity Crises in the Sovereign Debt Market  |b In Search of a Theory  |c Enrica Detragiache 
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653 |a Economics 
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653 |a Finance 
653 |a Debt service 
653 |a Financial crises 
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653 |a Mortgages 
653 |a Asset and liability management 
653 |a International Lending and Debt Problems 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a External debt 
653 |a Liquidity 
653 |a Loans 
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653 |a Financial Risk Management 
653 |a Portfolio Choice 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Investment Decisions 
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520 |a This paper studies under what circumstances creditworthy sovereign borrowers may be denied liquidity by rational creditors. It is shown that, when the creditor side of the market consists of many small investors there may be multiple rational expectations equilibria. In one equilibrium, creditors’ pessimistic expectations about the borrower’s creditworthiness become self-fulfilling, and the borrower experiences a liquidity crisis. Multiple equilibria can be avoided by marketing the loan appropriately or by developing a reputation for following good policies. Liquidity problems can also arise because of the temporary disruption of international bond markets due to events unrelated to the borrower’s circumstances. Policies responses are discussed