Testing the Credibility of the Belgian Hard Currency Policy

Interest rate differentials have been widely used to assess the degree of policy credibility. A problem with this measure, however, is that the relationship between the differential and credibility varies not only across maturities but also with the actual level of the exchange rate. The alternative...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Koen, Vincent
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1991
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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651 4 |a Belgium 
653 |a Interest rates 
653 |a Government and the Monetary System 
653 |a Payment Systems 
653 |a Public debt 
653 |a Finance 
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653 |a Currencies 
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653 |a Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy 
653 |a Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 
653 |a Economic and financial statistics 
653 |a Long term interest rates 
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653 |a Statistics 
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520 |a Interest rate differentials have been widely used to assess the degree of policy credibility. A problem with this measure, however, is that the relationship between the differential and credibility varies not only across maturities but also with the actual level of the exchange rate. The alternative approach used in this paper, based on the construction of rate-of-return bands, overcomes this difficulty. It is applied to Belgium, which in May 1990 hardened its exchange rate policy stance. Comparisons with other small, open European economies are carried out. Econometric evidence is provided supporting the claim that the announcement and active implementation of a tighter exchange rate link does make a difference