Informational Efficiency in Developing Equity Markets

The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: McDermott, C.
Other Authors: Cashin, Paul
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1995
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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300 |a 30 pages 
651 4 |a Turkey 
653 |a Inflation 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Institutional Investors 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Stock exchanges 
653 |a Stocks 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Econometric analysis 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Model Evaluation and Selection 
653 |a Financial Instruments 
653 |a Deflation 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Estimation 
653 |a Asset prices 
653 |a Price Level 
653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Stock markets 
653 |a Econometric models 
653 |a Investments: Stocks 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Prices 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Estimation techniques 
653 |a Econometrics 
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653 |a Finance: General 
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520 |a The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated, and then the implied equity market price, based on market fundamentals, is compared with the actual evolution of equity market prices. While the informational efficiency of each of the three markets is found to be deficient, the causes of market inefficiency are varied. For Jordan it appears that a large negative shock to economic activity in the late 1980s caused agents to discount market fundamentals. For Turkey and Pakistan it is likely that institutional and legal rigidities in equity and banking markets resulted in these markets being illiquid, although this lack of market depth did reduce in severity for Turkey over the sample period, as liberalization of financial markets occurred