Consumption Smoothing and the Current Account Evidence for France, 1970-1994

This paper estimates a simple consumption-smoothing model of the French current account, and examines its capacity to predict recent developments in France’s external performance. The model views the current account as a buffer through which private agents can smooth consumption over time in respons...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bismut, Claude
Other Authors: Agénor, Pierre-Richard, Cashin, Paul, McDermott, C.
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 1995
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Consumption Smoothing and the Current Account  |b Evidence for France, 1970-1994  |c Claude Bismut, Paul Cashin, C. McDermott, Pierre-Richard Agénor 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 1995 
300 |a 18 pages 
651 4 |a France 
653 |a Wealth 
653 |a Exports and Imports 
653 |a Short-term Capital Movements 
653 |a Regimes 
653 |a Income distribution 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a Current account 
653 |a Payment Systems 
653 |a International economics 
653 |a Money and Monetary Policy 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Monetary economics 
653 |a Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation 
653 |a Consumption distribution 
653 |a Saving 
653 |a Standards 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption 
653 |a Open Economy Macroeconomics 
653 |a Current account balance 
653 |a Aggregate Factor Income Distribution 
653 |a Consumption 
653 |a Current Account Adjustment 
653 |a Balance of payments 
653 |a Money 
653 |a Economics 
653 |a Government and the Monetary System 
653 |a Currencies 
653 |a Monetary Systems 
700 1 |a Agénor, Pierre-Richard 
700 1 |a Cashin, Paul 
700 1 |a McDermott, C. 
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520 |a This paper estimates a simple consumption-smoothing model of the French current account, and examines its capacity to predict recent developments in France’s external performance. The model views the current account as a buffer through which private agents can smooth consumption over time in response to temporary disturbances to output, investment, and government expenditure. The empirical results indicate that the model performs well overall, and predicts correctly the sharp turnaround in France’s external accounts observed in the past three years—a feature of the data that conventional models of trade flows, based on income and relative price variables, appear unable to explain