Global Bonding Do U.S. Bond and Equity Spillovers Dominate Global Financial Markets?

This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results suggest that U.S. financial shocks reverberate around the world much more strongly than...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bayoumi, Tamim
Other Authors: Bui, Trung
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2012
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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653 |a Dynamic Quantile Regressions 
653 |a Financial institutions 
653 |a Pension Funds 
653 |a Stock markets 
653 |a Diffusion Processes 
653 |a Dynamic Treatment Effect Models 
653 |a Time-Series Models 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Non-bank Financial Institutions 
653 |a Financial sector policy and analysis 
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653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Investments: Stocks 
653 |a Securities markets 
653 |a Externalities 
653 |a Bond yields 
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520 |a This paper uses a novel variant of identification through hetroscedacity to estimate spillovers across U.S., Euro area, Japanese, and UK government bond and equity markets in a vector autoregression. The results suggest that U.S. financial shocks reverberate around the world much more strongly than shocks from other regions, including the Euro area, while inward spillovers to the U.S. from elsewhere are minimal. There is also evidence of two-way spillovers between the UK and Euro area financial markets and spillovers from Europe to Japan. The results also suggest that the uncertainty about the direction of causality of contemporaneous correlations—an issue that other techniques cannot tackle—is the dominant source of uncertainty in the estimated impulse response functions