The Dynamic Effect of Social and Political Instability on Output The Role of Reforms

The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the magnitude o...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Bernal-Verdugo, Lorenzo E.
Other Authors: Furceri, Davide, Guillaume, Dominique
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2013
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The Dynamic Effect of Social and Political Instability on Output  |b The Role of Reforms  |c Lorenzo E. Bernal-Verdugo, Davide Furceri, Dominique Guillaume 
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653 |a Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies: General 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment and Investment: Other 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Cycles 
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653 |a Production growth 
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700 1 |a Guillaume, Dominique 
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520 |a The aim of this paper is to analyze the dynamic effect of social and political instability on output. Using a panel of up to 183 countries from 1980 to 2010, the results of the paper suggest that social conflicts have a significant and negative impact on output in the short-term with the magnitude of the effect being a function of the intensity of political instability. The results also show that the recovery of output over the medium-term depends on the ability of the country to implement, in the aftermath of a social instability episode, reforms aimed at improving the level of governance. The results are robust to different checks and estimation strategies