Is the Growth Momentum in Latin America Sustainable?

A favorable external environment coupled with prudent policies fostered output growth in most of Latin America during the last decade. But, what were the drivers of this strong growth performance from the supply side and will this momentum be sustainable in the years ahead? We address these question...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sosa, Sebastian
Other Authors: Kim, Marie, Tsounta, Evridiki
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2013
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a Is the Growth Momentum in Latin America Sustainable?  |c Sebastian Sosa, Evridiki Tsounta, Marie Kim 
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651 4 |a El Salvador 
653 |a Labour 
653 |a Cross-Country Output Convergence 
653 |a Human capital 
653 |a Aggregate Productivity 
653 |a Cost 
653 |a Capital and Total Factor Productivity 
653 |a Production 
653 |a Industrial productivity 
653 |a Skills 
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653 |a Labor 
653 |a Labor Productivity 
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653 |a Labor force participation 
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653 |a Occupational Choice 
653 |a Capacity 
653 |a Economic theory 
653 |a Human Capital 
653 |a Labor Standards: Labor Force Composition 
653 |a Income economics 
653 |a Production growth 
653 |a Production and Operations Management 
653 |a Labor economics 
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520 |a A favorable external environment coupled with prudent policies fostered output growth in most of Latin America during the last decade. But, what were the drivers of this strong growth performance from the supply side and will this momentum be sustainable in the years ahead? We address these questions by identifying the proximate causes of the recent high GDP growth and estimating potential growth rates for the period ahead for a large group of Latin American countries based on standard (Solow-style) growth accounting methodologies. We find that factor accumulation (especially labor), rather than growth in total factor productivity (TFP), remains the main driver of GDP growth. Moving forward, given the expected moderation of capital accumulation and some natural constraints on labor, the strong growth momentum is unlikely to be sustainable unless TFP performance improves significantly