The Great Recession and the Inflation Puzzle
Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s. Using a non-linear Kalman filter that allows for tim...
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Other Authors: | |
Format: | eBook |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Washington, D.C.
International Monetary Fund
2013
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Series: | IMF Working Papers
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Online Access: | |
Collection: | International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa |
Summary: | Notwithstanding persistently-high unemployment following the Great Recession, inflation in the United States has been remarkably stable. We find that a traditional Phillips curve describes the behavior of inflation reasonably well since the 1960s. Using a non-linear Kalman filter that allows for time-varying parameters, we find that three factors have contributed to the observed stability of inflation: inflation expectations have become better anchored and to a lower level; the slope of the Phillips curve has flattened; and the importance of import-price inflation has increased |
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Physical Description: | 12 pages |
ISBN: | 9781484334720 |