The Driving Force behind the Boom and Bust in Construction in Europe

This paper studies the factors behind pro-cyclical but widely varying construction shares (as a percent of GDP) across countries, with a strong focus on European countries. Using a dataset covering 48 countries (including advanced and emerging economies within and outside Europe) for 1990-2011, we f...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Sun, Yan
Other Authors: Mitra, Pritha, Simone, Alejandro
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. International Monetary Fund 2013
Series:IMF Working Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: International Monetary Fund - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
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245 0 0 |a The Driving Force behind the Boom and Bust in Construction in Europe  |c Yan Sun, Pritha Mitra, Alejandro Simone 
260 |a Washington, D.C.  |b International Monetary Fund  |c 2013 
300 |a 36 pages 
651 4 |a Spain 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: Infrastructures 
653 |a Stock exchanges 
653 |a Income 
653 |a Capital investments 
653 |a Finance 
653 |a Public finance & taxation 
653 |a Infrastructure 
653 |a Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis 
653 |a Housing 
653 |a Other Public Investment and Capital Stock 
653 |a General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) 
653 |a Aggregate Factor Income Distribution 
653 |a National accounts 
653 |a National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General 
653 |a Expenditure 
653 |a Macroeconomics: Production 
653 |a Cycles 
653 |a Financial markets 
653 |a Saving and investment 
653 |a Stock markets 
653 |a Expenditures, Public 
653 |a Macroeconomics 
653 |a Capital spending 
653 |a Construction 
653 |a Business Fluctuations 
653 |a Economic History: Manufacturing and Construction: Europe: 1913- 
653 |a Public Finance 
653 |a Environmental Accounts 
653 |a Finance: General 
653 |a Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth 
700 1 |a Mitra, Pritha 
700 1 |a Simone, Alejandro 
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520 |a This paper studies the factors behind pro-cyclical but widely varying construction shares (as a percent of GDP) across countries, with a strong focus on European countries. Using a dataset covering 48 countries (including advanced and emerging economies within and outside Europe) for 1990-2011, we find that country’s geography, demographics, and economic conditions are the key determinants of a norm around which actual construction shares revolve in a simple AR(1) and error-correction process. The empirical results show that in many European countries, construction shares overshoot relative to their norms before the recent global crisis, but they have fallen significantly since the crisis. Nevertheless, there is still room for further adjustment in construction shares in some countries which may weigh on economic recovery