A Structural Analysis of Expectation Formation Based on Business Surveys of French Manufacturing Industry

Using panel data of individual firms drawn from French surveys, a structural analysis is developed to study the formation of production plans and the rationality of expectations. The production decision of a firm is defined as the optimal solution of a dynamic stochastic optimization problem. The em...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ivaldi, Marc
Format: eBook
Language:English
Published: Berlin, Heidelberg Springer Berlin Heidelberg 1991, 1991
Edition:1st ed. 1991
Series:Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:
Collection: Springer Book Archives -2004 - Collection details see MPG.ReNa
Table of Contents:
  • One Forecasting Production Behavior in the Short-Run
  • 1: The Production Smoothing Model
  • 2: The Econometric Specification Using Survey Data
  • 3: The General Latent Variable Model with Discrete Data
  • 4: The Empirical Analysis and Forecasting
  • Two Survey Evidence on the Rationality of Expectations
  • 5: On Testing the RE Hypothesis: A Survey
  • 6: Surprise Variables and Expectational Errors
  • 7: Direct Tests of the Rational Expectation Hypothesis
  • Conclusion
  • References